5 China’s Second Cultural Revolution. All times AEDT (GMT +11). Some are quite dire. China's imposing Liaoning aircraft carrier has … The scenarios were different and diverse. It is good for Australia. No thaw in sight between Canberra and Beijing. The administration should not make that scenario more probable. Don't have an account? Feature image: Getty/The Global Times. Our security wouldn’t be the only likely casualty of the confrontational China policy Esper hopes to pursue. Previous war-games held over the past decade have exposed several critical flaws in Western military thinking. Here's a summary of the Sino-Indian War, Round Two, or the War for Southern Tibet: "China launches a limited invasion with the goal of pushing the border 25 to 30 miles farther south in both the eastern and western sectors. “China has long-range anti-ship ballistic missiles and hypersonic [more than five times the speed of sound] missiles,” one source reportedly said. “That 1800km combat radius still requires the carrier to penetrate deeply into China’s A2AD (area defence) envelope, which now extends out to about 4000km from the mainland,” he says. Why iron ore has been out of bounds in China's trade war with Australia — for now. “Investment in unmanned refuelling platforms like the MQ-25 Stingray eases this a bit.”. First, suppose China and the US enter full-scale war. Naval Institute's Proceedings magazine has a Taiwan war scenario set in January 2021. Current events make what I called "the China versus India scenario" uncomfortably likely. War-games rarely turn out well. The proliferation of mid-range ballistic missiles puts previously distant bases within easy reach. No country has pulled more people out of poverty than China, and we in Australia are pleased to have played our role. Australia – China Relationship. Australia's Richest. Find out more about our policy and your choices, including how to opt-out. RELATED: Hidden risk in Australia’s China attack, These words were written by two PLA Colonels 20 years ago. China accused the Trump administration of committing "economic terrorism" on Thursday, escalating its war of words with the United States amid rising trade tensions between the … The war-games revealed that the US risked “capital losses” even under current circumstances. If USA and Japan gets gets involved in Taiwan China war then the story of China will end there and then. Kevin Rudd says the worst-case scenario for Australia is that "we end up in conflict or war between the US and China". Naval Institute’s Proceedings magazine has a Taiwan war scenario set in January 2021. The official warnings spurred several recent articles that examine a U.S-China war sparked by a Beijing invasion of Taiwan. The coronavirus crisis has brought into sharper focus our global vulnerability and volatility, yet the warning signs were there well before this. They represent an attempt by the US to shift its thinking away from the anti-terror wars of recent decades back to facing major power threats. China and the USA are slowly heading towards a cold-war style, WW3. “With China now deploying hypersonic weapons that add to the survivability issues for US carriers.”, RELATED: Data leak exposes China’s virus cover-up, “Distributed Lethality – not concentrating so much on big carriers,” Davis says, “it is spreading offensive capability across greater numbers of smaller vessels. “Reconquest” of Spratly Islands (Year 2025 to 2030) After unification of Taiwan, China will take a … For example, the latest issue of the U.S. Nationwide News Pty Limited Copyright © 2020. What do lifestyle gurus and conspiracy theorists have in common? In that case, one of the direct losers will be Australia, because it will lose its income from China. “Penetrating the A2AD envelope is getting more challenging, and demands devoting more of a carrier battlegroup’s firepower to defensive capability rather than offensive punch,” Dr Davis says. 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